The experts say that Jacksonville is favored by 2 over Pittsburg and the point total is expected to be 39. Let’s crack open those algebra books again: Jax + Pitt = 39 and Jax = Pitt + 2 then 39 = 2(Pitt) + 2 and thus the experts are telling us Pitt will score about 18 points. This of course also means Seattle will score about 21 so the experts are predicting say Jax 21 Steelers 18.

Well, the first blaringly obvious thing is that here is the exception to the rule: the visiting Jaguars are favored and have a better a record than the home Steelers. In this case I don’t think home field will be enough to save the Steelers. This is not the 6 seed Steelers team that won it all 2 years ago. This team has serious injuries to deal with and its leaders from that other team have retired. On the other hand Jacksonville is healthy and strong. They have become the kind of team we are accustomed to watching in Pittsburg. As a football fan, I wish Pittsburgh was healthy and Coach Cowher was still around. It would easily be the game of the weekend, however this will not be the strength vs strength, strength always wins matchup I would like to see. Instead we will see a well balanced Jaguar offense that will pound the running game and move the ball through the air as needed. Wounded Pittsburgh will struggle to move the ball against a stout Jaguar defense and will need to rely on turnovers to score. However, I don’t think we will see that. You aren’t going to get any pick sixes against the Jags. Pittsburgh might hang for a little while, but look for them to wear down late in the game and give up big plays and ultimately just too many points. Jacksonville 41 Pittsburgh 10

One side note here, I obvious think the Jags should be heavy favorites, but the experts don’t. That 2 point line seems really fishy to me and if it weren’t for the fact that Pittsburgh is playing this game, that low point spread would affect my thinking. Remember those numbers are made by business men. The intention is to get the same amount of action on Pittsburgh as is on Jacksonville. Five Super Bowl victories will win you a lot of fans all across the country. There are a lot of people picking Pittsburgh with their hearts and not their heads and that’s what I attribute the low line to.

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