There are no overwhelming odds for the NFC 2 or 3 seed like there are for the NFC 1 seed so we have to dig a little deeper here. As a matter of fact I really can’t find any persuasive mathematical trend on this game. So lets get right to the A & A.

The Packers are favored by 8 and the total is 42 so that gives us Green Bay 25 Seattle 17. Well that gives us a place to start. Green Bay of course will have their legendary January home field advantage. Also Seattle is not the same on the road, but then again that can be said of most teams. There’s the whole Mike Holmgren comes home thing. Then there’s Matt Hasselback demonstrating that he is much better at predicting the outcome of coin tosses than he is at predicting the outcome of football games. There is the Brett Favre as the captain of the team of destiny etc. etc. Most of it is crapola.

The home field advantage however is not just legend, and Brett Favre is a living legend which brings up another point. Just who are these guys and how good are they really? Are they just a legendary quarterback on a legendary franchise playing in a legendary setting? No they are not, they are a whole lot more. They are a team that is solid everywhere and that’s why they win week after week. This week in particular I think it’s their secondary that will determine the outcome of this game.

For Seattle to win they cannot get behind, they need to score early. The problem is they are not going to have an easy time throwing on the Green Bay corners. Also running the ball in Green Bay is lot different than running it at home. Brett Favre will be wound up and he may give them an early pick and if he does they better convert it, but he will settle down and methodically move the Packers up and down the field. Meanwhile, Seattle will struggle on offense. As the game progresses Green Bay will steadily grow their lead until Seattle is forced to throw, even though by now they know they can’t, and then Green Bay will get some points off picks themselves.

Maybe Shaun Alexander has a superstar day and keeps them close, but I really don’t think so. I do believe however that Seattle will get some points off of a Brett Favre interception and so I am adjusting their score up as well. Green Bay 33 Seattle 21

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