Unlike the NFC, the AFC 1 seeds odds of making the championship game are not as much of a lock. Its more like 60%. But we are talking about the New England Patriots here, so take the odds and throw them right out the window. This is a team that appears to simply be able to do whatever they need to do whenever they need to, to win.

If you read last weeks picks you may be thinking, “Hey wait didn’t you say something about flipping coins and the probability of getting 4 heads in a row was remote and therefore the odds of winning (or losing) 4 games in row was also remote.” Yes I did say that and that is correct. But don’t be so hasty to apply that to New Englands perfect season and think the probably of winning 17 in a row is also remote. The odds of flipping a coin and getting a head on any one flip is ½. So it is with winning a football game for most teams. New England is not most teams. The odds of them winning are much higher than ½ or 50%.

Basically what I am saying is, nothing to think about here. New England wins. New England wins big. They want to reinforce the message, “We are invincible” and in particular they want the Super Bowl champs to hear it.

Last thing to do is our traditional algebra and adjustment. Jax is getting 13 and the point total is 47. So the fellas who live where the rest of us vacation are saying NE 30 Jax 17. No way. NE 47 Jax 17. New England wants to state clearly this week that they are invincible. (They aren’t, by the way, but that’s a story for another day, like next week.)

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