Unlike the NFC, the AFC 1 seeds odds of making the championship game are not as much of a lock. Its more like 60%. But we are talking about the New England Patriots here, so take the odds and throw them right out the window. This is a team that appears to simply [...]

Just like New England, I think Indianapolis is one of those teams where you throw the odds right out the window. Key points on their 3 losses:

Tennessee - The second team lost to Tennessee. If it mattered, Manning could have walked on to the field at any time and ended their season

San Diego [...]

There are no overwhelming odds for the NFC 2 or 3 seed like there are for the NFC 1 seed so we have to dig a little deeper here. As a matter of fact I really can’t find any persuasive mathematical trend on this game. So lets get right to the A & A.
The Packers [...]

First and foremost important stat here is that the NFC 1 seed makes it into the NFC championship a little more than 90% of the time. That means that before we go any further, we better find some pretty convincing evidence to go against Dallas.
Last week I said that generally about 3 out of the [...]

You will notice throughout my football picks I refer to “doing the algebra” or “ A & A”. What I am doing is here is finding a starting point for my analysis through a system of equations that is the same for every game regardless of who is in it. You only need to know [...]

Results:
I was 4 – 1 straight up, which as was stated when I made my picks, nothing to brag about. However 3 – 1 – 1 against the “expert’s” spread is something to happy about.